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Six Monkeys Typing -
And a Partridge in a
Pear Tree
Gerald McKibben
Soon after the
appearance of Charles Darwin’s famous book On the Origin of Species,
in 1859, there was an evolution debate in London between Thomas Huxley
and Samuel Wilberforce, Anglican Bishop of Oxford. Huxley coined the
word ‘agnostic’ and is considered by some to have been more influential
in promoting Darwin’s beliefs than Darwin himself; in fact he was called
“Darwin’s
Bulldog”. During the course of the debate, the flamboyant Huxley made
his famous statement to the effect that six eternal monkeys (I think he
said apes) with six eternal typewriters, given an endless supply of
paper and ink, could, by random typing, eventually type out a
Shakespearean sonnet, or even the entire Book of Psalms. Of course this
was stated in support of the contention that any required combinations
of matter could, given enough time, result from random chance. There is
some uncertainty about some details of Huxley’s statement – some point
out that typewriters were not generally available at the time of the
debate, for example. Regardless, many still believe that the monkeys,
given the constraints Huxley proposed, would eventually stumble upon the
right combination of letters, punctuation marks and spaces to type out
the mentioned documents. And this flawed logic is still believed by many
to be sufficient proof that molecules can turn into man, given enough
time.
It is
characteristic of the evolution dogma that statements made by scientists
in support of evolution are often taken at face value, without further
investigation. That’s why many people today believe Huxley’s little
monkey scenario to be reasonable. Yet several writers have shown it to
be totally impossible 1,2,3,4. My analysis below is somewhat
similar to that of others. (If you don’t care for the math you can skip
to the last paragraph).
I assumed that
there are 50 keys on a typewriter keyboard, excluding capital letters,
and I generously allowed one super-monkey to do 2 keystrokes/sec, 8
hrs/day, 365.25 days/ year. I started with the first word of the First
Psalm; "Blessed", which has 8 characters if you include a following
space. There is, on average, one chance in 508 attempts (an
attempt being defined as a random typing of 8 characters), of typing
this word. This is based on the Multiplication Rule of probability.
Converting
‘attempts’ to seconds, at 2 keystrokes/sec X 6 monkeys = 12
keystrokes/second. Multiplying 1 sec/12 keystrokes by 8
keystrokes/‘attempt’ gives 2/3 sec/attempt. Multiplying this by 508
gives 2.60 X 1013 seconds. Divide this by 1.05 X 107
seconds/year (using 8-hour days) = 2,480,000 years, on average, for six
monkeys to type out, by chance, only the first word of Psalm 1.
I only went as far
as the first phrase of this Psalm, “Blessed is the man who walks not in
the council of the ungodly”, 62 characters. Time required would be (5062
* 62/12 seconds) / 1.057 X 107 sec/yr = 1.07 X 1099
years, or 107 followed by 97 zeros. It is perhaps worth noting that the
number 1 followed by 100 zeros is called a googol (not to be confused
with Google, the internet search engine, that got its name from
the term), and there are not considered to be this many atoms in the
entire universe.
It is a totally
incomprehensible number; it’s 1.5 X 1010 inches from
the earth to the moon. According to the Wikipedia Encyclopedia, there
are 7 X 1027 atoms in the human body. And if you multiply
this number by 6.6 billion (the total population on earth), you get a
number that is only an infinitesimally tiny fraction of the number
representing the time required. And, besides, the evolutionists believe
the earth to be ‘only’ 4.6 X 109 years old.
So an appropriate
response to Huxley’s claim is – No they couldn’t. It’s not possible.
John wrote “All things were made through Him [Jesus], and without Him
nothing was made that was made”. Yes, and that includes the partridge
and the pear tree.
References:
-
Harub, Brad. 2003.
Monkeys, Typewriters, and Shakespeare. 2003. Apologetics Press:
http://www.apologeticspress.org/articles/2340.
-
Monkeys Fail to
Produce Masterpiece. 2003. BBC News, (On-line), http:/www.bbc.co.uk/devon/news_features/2003)monkey_words.shtml.
-
Typing Monkeys,
but no Shakespeare. 2003. MSNBC Science News, (On-line),
http://www.msnbc.com/news/911508.asp?0si=-.
-
Osselton, David.
Making a Monkey of Shakespeare. 1984. New Scientist,
1 November 1984,
p. 39.
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